SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook Report Available
July Report: Outlook Based on July Data
Coordinated by the Study of Environmental Arctic Change (SEARCH) and
Developing Arctic Modelling and Observing Capabilities for Long-term
Environmental Studies (DAMOCLES)
For further information, please go to:
http://www.arcus.org/search/seaiceoutlook/report_july.php
Or contact:
James Overland (Lead, Sea Ice Outlook Core Integration Group)
Email: james.e.overland [at] noaa.gov
Or:
Hajo Eicken (Member, Sea Ice Outlook Core Integration Group)
Email: hajo.eicken [at] gi.alaska.edu
The SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook Core Integration Group announces the
availability of the "July Report: Outlook Based on July Data."
The outlook for the pan-arctic sea ice extent in September 2008, based
on July data, indicates a continuation of dramatic arctic sea ice loss.
The July Sea Ice Outlook report is based on a synthesis of 22 individual
projections utilizing a range of methods. Projections based on July data
show no indication that a return to historical sea ice extent will occur
this year.
The range of responses was from 3.2 to 5.6 million square kilometers.
All estimates are well below the 1979-2007 September climatological mean
value of 6.7 million square kilometers.
The SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook is an international effort to provide an
integrated, community-wide summary of the state of arctic sea ice over
the 2008 summer season. The Sea Ice Outlook effort has produced monthly
reports based on an open and inclusive process that synthesizes input
from a broad range of scientific perspectives. Each monthly report is
based on the previous month's data (e.g., the "July Report" is published
in August, using observational data from July). A final retrospective
analysis will be issued after September.
The Sea Ice Outlook should not be considered as a formal prediction for
arctic sea ice extent, nor is it intended as a replacement for existing
efforts or centers with operational responsibility. Rather, it is a
community effort that provides an instrument for synthesis of data from
arctic observing systems and modeling activities to provide insight into
the arctic sea ice system.
The July report can be found at:
http://www.arcus.org/search/seaiceoutlook/report_july.php
For more information about the Sea Ice Outlook effort, please go to:
http://www.arcus.org/search/seaiceoutlook/index.php
Or contact:
James Overland (Lead, Sea Ice Outlook Core Integration Group)
Email: james.e.overland [at] noaa.gov
Or:
Hajo Eicken (Member, Sea Ice Outlook Core Integration Group)
Email: hajo.eicken [at] gi.alaska.edu